Labor remains on track to win 41 seats in WA’s 59-seat parliament after Saturday’s landslide election win.
Seven seats are in the balance including those of Liberal leadership hopeful Joe Francis, who must win his Jandakot seat first, and Nationals leader Brendon Grylls in Pilbara.
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation looks like it will get a second upper house seat despite polling well below expectations with 4.7 per cent across the board.
Labor’s task of 10 seats and a 10 per cent swing to win government was considered extremely difficult, but it has already picked up at least 16 seats, including nearly all of the Perth suburban seats identified as battleground mortgage belt areas.
There was a 16 per cent swing against former premier Colin Barnett’s Liberals, a loss of about one third of their primary vote.
Labor was ahead in another five Liberal-held seats, including the metropolitan seats Jandakot, Joondalup and Kingsley, and rural Murray-Wellington south of Perth and Pilbara in the north, as the electoral commission resumed counting votes on Monday.
In regional Geraldton, sitting Liberal Ian Blayney was slightly ahead of Labor’s Lara Dalton, while Liberal Kyran O’Donnell had a small lead over sitting Nationals MP Tony Crook in Kalgoorlie.
The shape of the previously Liberal-National dominated 59-seat parliament is set to be 41 seats to Labor, the Liberals’ presence will fall from 31 to 13 and the Nationals from seven to five.
Several government ministers lost their seats, including Health Minister John Day, Environment Minister Albert Jacob and Local Government Minister Paul Miles with Child Protection Minister Andrea Mitchell trailing Labor.
One Nation leader Colin Tincknell is assured of a seat in the upper house and the party may get a second in the legislative council, according to ABC election analyst Antony Green.
The biggest swing was 23.4 per cent in Bunbury, where former senior public servant Don Punch turned a previously safe Liberal seat into a safe Labor one.
The 10 Perth metropolitan seats the Liberals still hold are mostly in Perth’s more affluent western suburbs, such as Mr Barnett’s Cottesloe and deputy leader Liza Harvey’s Scarborough.
The upper house is still to be sorted, including the effect of the preference deals among micro parties and whether the Fluoride Free WA party, which opposes water fluoridation, will get a seat.
However Mr Green is predicting a more balanced upper than lower house, with WA Labor to win 14 seats, the Liberal Party 10, the Nationals four and the Greens a chance to increase their representation from two to three seats.
One Nation is set to do no better than the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers Party, which are set to win two seats each and the Liberal Democrats could win one.